The Twentieth Session of the Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction for Asia (FOCRAII) （Final Program）
The Twentieth Session of the Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction for Asia (FOCRAII)
（Final Program）
May 9-12, 2024, Qingdao China
9 May (Thursday), 2024
Registration（08:00-09:00）
Location：Xingyun No. 7 Meeting Room, 1st floor, STEIGENBERGER Sauce Qingdao Hotel
08:45-08:55 Group Photo (out of the meeting room)
Opening Ceremony (09:00-09:40)
Chair: Qingchen CHAO
09:00-09:10 Welcome address by Baogui BI, Deputy Administrator of CMA
09:10-09:15 Address by Ben Churchill, Representative of WMO of UN (Online)
09:15-09:20 Address by Chris Hewitt, Director of WMO Climate Service Branch
09:20-09:25 Address by Mingjie SONG, Vice Mayor of Qingdao City
09:25-09:40 FOCRAII 20 Year Progress, in response to UN Early Warnings for All initiative, promoting good practices in China in climate services
Peiqun ZHANG, BCC/CMA
09:40-10:10 Tea Break
Session 1：WMO and NHMSs Reports on Climate Services (10:10-12:00):
Chair: Chris Hewitt, Peiqun ZHANG
10:10-10:40 Keynote: Global and Regional Climate Services
Chris Hewitt, WMO Climate Service Branch
10:40-11:00 Keynote: Update on WMO from Regional Perspective
Jun YU, WMO Regional Office for Asia and the South-West Pacific (RAP)
11:00-11:15 Climate Services Progress in UK
Thomas Crocker, UKMO
11:15-11:30 Introduction of recent updates of JMA/TCC’s services
NAKAMURA Tetsu, JMA
11:30-11:45 Climate Services Progress in Republic of Korea
IM Gyosun, KMA
11:45-12:00 Climate Services Progress in India (online speech)
Arti Bandgar, IMD
Lunch Break (12:00-14:00)
Session 2: Invited Lectures (14:00-17:00)
Chair: Peili WU
14:00-14:30 Dynamical Processes of ENSO’s Impact on Southeast Asian Summer Monsoon and Their Future Changes
Song YANG, SYS University, China
14:30-15:00 The interannual wintertime climate modes over mid-high latitude Eurasia and their climate impacts
Xuguang SUN, Nanjing University, China
15:00-15:30 Extreme rainfall events in China and sub-seasonal predictability
Congwen ZHU, CAMS/CMA
15:30-16:00 Tea Break
Chair: Song YANG
16:00-16:30 Equatorial western-central Pacific SST responsible for the North Pacific Oscillation-ENSO sequence
Wenjun ZHANG, NUIST
16:30-17:00 Analysis of dynamic differences in extreme persistent heavy rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River under the background of strong or weak El-niño
Yongping WU, Yangzhou University
17:00-18:00 Poster Presentations
Reception by CMA (18:00-20:00, at the 1st floor, STEIGENBERGER Sauce Qingdao Hotel)
May 10 (Friday), 2024
Location：1st floor, STEIGENBERGER Sauce Qingdao Hotel
Session 3：Technology and Management of Disaster Risk and Climate Services (9:00-10:30)
Chair: Thomas Crocker
09:00-09:15 Online speech by Sanjay Srivastava (UNESCAP), the challenges and opportunities of operationalizing Impact-based forecasting
09:15-09:30 Online speech by Erkin Isaev (FAO of UN), Application of seasonal forecast in Drought Triggering Methodology for Anticipatory Action in Data-Scarce Regions: A Case Study from Timor-Leste by using AI
09:30-09:45 Seasonal predictable signals of the East Asian summer monsoon rainfall
Kairan YING, National Institute of Natural Hazards, China
09:45-10:00 Development and Industry Application of China Upper-Air Climate Normal Dataset from 1991 to 2020 (Online speech)
Yan SHI, NMIC/CMA
10:00-10:15 Sea Ice Products Based on Multi-source Payloads of FengYun Satellites (Online speech)
Xiaochun ZHAI, NSMC/CMA
10:15-10:30 Climate Services of the WMO Third Pole Regional Climate Center-Network
Lijuan MA, BCC/CMA
10:30-11:00 Tea Break
Poster Presentations (11:00-12:00)
Lunch Break (12:00-14:00)
Session 4：Overview of Recent Climate and Climate Change (14:00-15:00)
Chair: Tetsu Nakamura
14:00-14:15 Overview of Winter Climate over South Korea 2023
HA Wonsil, KMA
14:15-14:30 The characteristics of 2023/24 winter monsoon in Japan
Tetsu Nakamura, JMA
14:30-14:45 Changes in compound hot and drought extreme events over Yangtze River basin during 1961 to 2022
Mei MEI, BCC/CMA
14:45-15:00 2023/2024 winter- spring climate feature and summer seasonal outlook in Mongolia
E.Munkhjargal, NAMEM, Mongolia
15:00-15:15 Future projection of wind and solar energy potential over China
Jia WU, BCC/CMA,
15:15-15:30 Observed Climate Changes in Kazakhstan
Galiya Turumova, Kazhydromet
15:30-15:45 Tea Break
Session 5：Introduction of new technologies and methods such as artificial intelligence (15:45-16:45)
Chair: Jie WU
15:45-16:05 Introduction of new S2S prediction technologies and methods in BCC/CMA
Jie WU, BCC/CMA
16:05-16:25 Introduction to KMA activities based on ExCMOS supporting to several sectors against extreme climate disasters
HA Wonsil, KMA
16:25-16:45 Challenge predictability desert: a machine learning model that outperforms conventional global subseasonal forecast models
Yangyang ZHAO, Fudan University
Poster Presentations (16:45-17:45)
May 11 (Saturday), 2024
Session 6：Sub-Seasonal and Seasonal Climate Prediction of the Summer 2024 (9:00-11:00)
Chair: HA Wonsil
09:00-09:15 Summer Climate Outlook for China in 2024
Xiang LI, BCC/CMA
09:15-09:30 Seasonal outlook for summer 2024 over Japan
Hiroyuki Sugimoto, TCC/JMA
09:30-09:45 Climate Outlook for Summer 2024 over Korea
IM Gyosun, KMA, Republic of Korea
09:45-10:00 UK Met Office Hadley Centre Seasonal Predictions
Peili WU, UKMO
10:00-10:10 Seasonal forecast for Summer 2024 and annual outlook 2024 for Hong Kong, China
Ka Wai SO, HKO
10:10-10:20 Seasonal forecast outlook of the summer 2024 for Viet Nam
LE Minh Duc, IMH, Viet Nam
10:20-10:40 Tea Break
Chair: MUNKHJARGAL Erdenebadrakh
10:40-10:50 Seasonal Prediction over East Asia for June-July-August 2024
Yong-gwon Ji, Korea Water Resources Corporation (K-water)
10:50-11:00 Summer 2024 Prediction by the CMA-CPSv3
Xiaoyun LIANG, CEMC/CMA
11:00-11:10 Seasonal forecast for Summer 2024 for Macao, China
Chan Cheng Hou, Macao Meteorological and Geophysical Bureau
11:10-11:20 China Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System Version 2.0 (CMMEv2.0) and its application to Flood-Season Prediction in 2024”
Jianghua WAN, BCC/CMA
11:20-11:30 State of Pakistan Climate in 2023 and Monsoon outlook for 2024
Faisal Saeed Syed, PMD
11:30-11:40 Climate Prediction in LAO
Mayphou Mahachaleun, DMH, LAO
11:40-11:50 Climate Outlook for Rainfall & Temperature over south Asia for Southwest monsoon season 2024
Sabeerali C. T, IMD
Lunch Break (12:00-14:00)
Session 7: Discussion and Summary（14:00-15:00）
Chair: Zhihai ZHENG
A summary of predictions on Asian summer 2024 climate will be produced together by BCC/CMA, JMA, KMA and other NMHSs from Asia.
Closing Remarks (15:00-15:20)
Chair: Peiqun ZHANG
Poster Presentations:
Characteristics and mechanisms of regional persistent high temperature processes in Shandong of June
Junzhi CHEN, Shandong Climate Centre/CMA
Multi‑timescale modulation of North Pacific Victoria mode on Central Asian vortices causing heavy snowfall
Zhiheng CHEN, BCC/CMA
Windows of Opportunity for Subseasonal Forecasting of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset
Yanan DUAN, CAMS/CMA
Classification of the Northeast China Cold Vortex Activity Paths in Early Summer Based on K-means Clustering and Their Climate Impact
Yihe FANG, Liaoning Climate Centre/CMA
Seasonal Dependence of the Pacific–North American Teleconnection Associated with ENSO and Its Interaction with the Annual Cycle
Suqiong HU, NUIST
Enhanced risk of record-breaking regional temperatures during the 2023–24 El Niño
Ning JIANG, CAMS/CMA
Disaster risk assessment of Super Typhoon “Rammasun” based on three-dimensional joint distribution of landing and impacting the counties in Guangxi Province
Guangtao LI, Guangxi Climate Centre/CMA
Asymmetric Characteristics and Maintenance Mechanisms of the East Asian Winter Temperature Anomaly Reversal Mode
Qiao LI, CAMS/CMA
Climate change physical risk disclosure technology and services
Yuyu REN, BCC/CMA
Wind energy resource and exploring potential in Tibetan Plateau
Chaoyang SUN, BCC/CMA
Analysis of Features and Causation for Tropical Cyclone Activities over the Western North Pacific in 2023
Leng SUN, BCC/CMA
The Global Weather Monitoring and Forecasting Operation in NMC and WMC（BJ）
Jin XIE, NMC/CMA
The Tmax in midsummer over southern China and its extendedrange prediction based on the dynamical downscaling method
Weiping XU, Shandong Climate Centre/CMA
Introduction for high-resolution wind energy dataset and integrated renewable energy service platform
Yan YAN, BCC/CMA
Sub-seasonal predictability of the Northeast China cold vortex in BCC and ECMWF S2S model forecasts
Yiqiu YU, Liaoning Climate Centre/CMA
Cross-Equatorial Flow as a precursor of East-West Monsoon Precipitation Pattern in the Southern Tibetan Plateau
Siyu YUE, BCC/CMA
Outlook of national and global agricultural meteorological technique and service in NMC
Lei ZHANG, NMC/CMA
Development and Application of Climate Monitoring and Prediction Analysis System CIPAS3
Siqi ZHANG, BCC/CMA
La Niña's Teleconnection to the Indian Ocean Dipole Controlled by Its Longitudinal Position
Teng ZHANG, NUIST
Achievement in China-ASEAN Forum on Meteorological Cooperation
Wei ZHANG, Chunni BAI, Guangxi Meteorological Service/CMA
Progress in Meteorological Science and Technology Cooperation between China and Central Asia
Ling ZHAO, Urumqi Institute of Desert Meteorology/CMA
