April 7 (Friday), 2006

Topic I: Climate Prediction System and Modeling (08:30–10:50)

Chairman: LI Weijing（CMA）

08:30-08:50  Status of Long-Range Forecasts in the Korea Meteorological Administration

Ju-Youn Lim, KMA

08:50-09:10  Latest IRI Multi-model Ensemble Forecasts

Chester Ropelewski, IRI

09:10-09:30  Seasonal outlook on 2006 East Asian Summer Monsoon by DCMPS/BCC

LIANG Xiaoyun, BCC/CMA

09:30-09:50  Predictability of CME/PNU CGCM to Forecast East Asian Summer Monsoon

Joong-Bae, Ahn, KMA-academic

09:50-10:10  Prediction of 2006 Summer Climate

            CHEN Hong, IAP/CAS

10:10-10:30  Seasonal Outlook of the 2006 Summer over the East Asia using the KMA

Global Spectral Model

Hyun-Kyung, Kim, KMA

10:30-10:50  TEA BREAK

Topic II: Overview of Recent Climate over East Asia and El Nino Outlook  (10:50–12:10)

Chairman: Ju-Youn Lim （KMA）

11:50-11:10  Overview of 2005 winter climate over the East Asia

 Kyung-Suk, Cho, KMA

11:10-11:30  Review of Chinese climate in 2005

HE Yong, BCC/CMA

11:30-11:50  Tropical Ocean-Atmospheric Conditions Monitoring and Outlook in

Summer 2006

GUO Yanjun, BCC/CMA

12:10-13:30     LUNCH

Topic III: Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer (13:30–16:30)

Chairman: Koichi Kurihara (JMA)

13:30-13:50 Climate prediction activity in METRI/KMA

               Young-Hwa, Byun, KMA

13:50-14:10 External and Internal Summer Atmospheric Variability in the western North

Pacific and East Asia

LU Riyu, IAP/CAS

14:10-14:30  Climate Prediction and Research about the latest forecast

Christopher Gordon, Hadley Center

14:30-14:50  JMA's Outlook for summer 2006

Koichi Kurihara, JMA

14:50-15:10  The Outlook of East Asia Summer Monsoon and Precipitation in Flood

Season of 2006 in China

LIU Yanxiang, BCC/CMA

15:10-15:30  Teabreak

Chairman: Young-Hwa, Byun (KMA)

15:30-15:50  Seasonal prediction of regional climate over Korea using preceding large-

scale climate indices

Maeng-Ki, Kim, KMA-academic

15:50-16:10  Prediction of Typhoon Frequency over the Northwestern Pacific in 2006

            GAO Hui, BCC/CMA

16:10-16:30  A Proposition on Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the

Western North Pacific

    Hyeok-Joe, Kwon, KMA-academic

Topic 4: Summary and Discussion (16:30–17:30)

Chairman: LI Weijing（CMA）

Parallel Special Session 2-----Climate Change in Asia Arid and Semi-arid Region

April 7 (Friday), 2006

Oral presentations (Conference room 1004 of the eastern Building of Meteorological Science and Technology）（08:30-10:10）

Chairman: LIU Hongbin

08:30-08:50        The Agroclimatic Resource and its Change in Mongolia.

Azzaya D, Institude of meteorology and Hydrology (IMH), Mongolia

08:50-09:10        The Effect of Solar Activity on Annual Precipitation in Delingha Region, Tibetan Plateau for the Last 1000 years.

HUANG Lei, BCC/CMA

09:10-09:30        Precipitation Changes in Mongolia from 1961 to 2004

Battur N, IMH

09:30-09:50         Simulate the Eco-hydrology Processes and its Response to Environmental Change at Watershed Scale in Hilly Area of Loess Plateau, China.

XU Hongmei, BCC/CMA

09:50-10:10        Cyclogenesis over the Territory of Mongolia During 1999-2002.

Jugder D, IMH

10:10-10:30    Teabreak

Oral presentations（10:30-11:50）

Chairman: Dolgorsuren AZZAYA

10:30-10:50        Climate Change Projections for the 21^st Century by the AOGCM with SRES Scenarios.

Xu Ying, BCC/CMA

10:50-11:10        Estimation of Pasture Capacity and its Application to the Mongolian Pastoral Livestock Husbandry.

Erdenetsetseg B, IMH

11:10-11:30         Variations in Droughts over China: 1951–2003.

Zou Xukai, BCC/CMA

11:30-11:50         Weather outlook for Mongolia in the warm season of 2006.

Sarantuya C, IMH

12:00-13:30       Lunch

14:00-17:30 To visit the Division of Climate Change (NCC, China) and then have a summary and discussion at the 1204 meeting room of the western Building of Meteorological Science and Technology.