Provisional Program for FOCRAII 2008
Fourth Session of the Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction for
（Provisional Program）
9-11 April, 2008,
April 9 (Wednesday), 2008
Registration（08:00-09:00）
Location：Lobby of
Opening Ceremony (09:00-10:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair: Li Weijing
09:00-09:10 Welcome address by head of CMA
09:10-09:20 Address by WMO representative (Ms. Leslie MALONE)
09:20-09:30 Address by Executive Director-General of BCC (Dr. XIAO Ziniu)
09:30-10:00 Group Photo and Tea Break
Invited Lectures (10:00-12:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair: Chih-Pei CHANG
10:00-10:40 Methods and tools for climate adaptation: WMO initiatives
Leslie MALONE, WMO
10:40-11:20 Terrain Effects on Southeast Asian Monsoon
Chih-Pei
11:20-12:00 Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) and Summer Precipitation in
DING Yihui, BCC/CMA
Lunch (12:00-13:30)
Session 1：Prediction on East Asian Summer Monsoon and summer climate in 2008 (13:30-18:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Invited Lectures (13:30-14:10)
Chair: Liqiang SUN
13:30-14:10 Diagnosis of the atmospheric circulation in winter 2007/08 focusing on unusually strong Siberian high and cold surges over
Kumi HAYASHI, TCC/JMA,
14:10-14:50 Regional Climate Modeling in Seasonal Climate Prediction: Advances and Future Directions
Liqiang SUN, IRI, USA
Oral Presentations (14:50-15:50)
Topic I: Overview of Recent Climate and Climate Change
14:50-15:10 Climate and flood in
BIN Chann Mony, DOM,
15:10-15:30 TBD
Md.
15:30-15:50 Overview of Recent Climate over
LEE, Hyun-Soo, CPD/KMA
15:50-16:10 Tea Break
Oral Presentations (16:10-17:530)
Chair: Kumi HAYASHI
Topic I: Overview of Recent Climate and Climate Change (cont.)
16:10-16:30 Climate Features during Rainy Season over
MOON, Ja Yeon, CPD/KMA
16:30-16:50 Characters of Meteorological Disasters Caused by the Extreme Synoptic Process in early
WANG Zunya, BCC/CMA
16:50-17:10 Wind Condition Changes in
Bayan SAZANOVA, Kazhydromet
17:10-17:30 The Assessment of Climate Impact on Socio-economic of the
Svetlana DOLGIKH, Kazhydromet
17:30-17:50 Assessment of Recent Dry Spell and Impacts of
Rusy G. ABASTILLAS, PAGASA-DOST
Reception by BCC (18:00-20:00)
April 10 (Thursday), 2008
Invited Lectures (08:30-10:30) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair: Song Yang
08:30-09:10 Improving Observational Data Towards Better Climate Monitoring,
Assessment and Prediction - A Regional Perspective
G. KRISHNAKUMAR, IMD,
09:10-09:50 Monitoring and prediction of the Asian-Australian and Indo-Pacific climate
Song YANG, NOAA's
09:50-10:30 The APCC prediction efforts: Operations and Research
Karumuri ASHOK, APCC,
10:30-10:50 Tea Break
Session 1 (cont.) ：Prediction on East Asian Summer Monsoon and summer climate in 2008 (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Oral Presentations (10:50-12:30)
Session 1 Topic II: Climate Prediction System and Modeling
Chair: Karumuri ASHOK
10:50-11:10 Application of Long-term Climatic Models on the
Shakhlo RADZHABOVA, MFC,
11:10-11:30 Verification of Monsoon Rainfall Prediction Model for
Nadeem FAISAL, PMD
11:30-11:50 Multiyear Hindcast Simulations of Summer Monsoon over
Sajjad SAEED, PMD
11:50-12:10 Application Time-Frecuency Wavelet Analyse for the Validation and Verification the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Model Output
Erwin Eka Syahputra MAKMUR, IMGA,
12:10-12:30 High Resolution Climate Modeling in
Fierra SETYAWAN, IMGA, Indonesia
Lunch (12:30-13:50)
Oral Presentations (13:50-18:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Session 1 Topic III: Seasonal Climate Prediction of the summer 2008 over
Chair: SUN Zhaobo
13:50-14:10 Seasonal Outlook of the 2008 Summer
LEE, Jeong-Seog, CPD/KMA
14:10-14:30 Seasonal Outlook of 2008 Summer by the METRI/KMA CPS
KANG, Hyun-Suk, METRI/KMA
14:30-14:50 JMA's Seasonal Forecast for 2008 Summer
Ryuji YAMADA, TCC/JMA,
14:50-15:10 Seasonal Outlook of the 2008 Summer: East Asia Monsoon and Precipitation Anomalies in
ZHANG Peiqun, BCC/CMA
15:10-15:30 Summer Precipitation Prediction and Interdecadal Variations in
SUN Zhaobo, NUIST,
15:30-15:50 Prediction of the Tropical Storm Activity over the Northwest Pacific and
JIA Xiaolong, BCC/CMA
15:50-16:00 Tea Break
Topic III (cont.): Seasonal Climate Prediction of the summer 2008 over
Chair: LEE Jeong-Seog, CPD/KMA
16:00-16:20 Forecast for 2008 Rainy Season
LEOUG Weng Kun, MGB,
16:20-16:40 Monthly Temperature and Rainfall Forecasts for
LEE Sai Ming, HKO
16:40-17:00 Latest IRI Seasonal Climate Forecasts
Liqiang Sun,
17:00-17:20 Seasonal prediction of TC activity and its validations
H. Joe KWON,
17:20-17:40 Outlook of Summer Prediction over East Asian in 2008 by DCMPS/BCC
KE Zongjian, BCC/CMA
17:40-18:00 ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions
HAN Rongqin, BCC/CMA
Dinner
April 11 (Friday), 2008
Invited Lectures (08:30-09:10) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair: QIAN Weihong
08:30-09:10 Developments in Extended and Long-range Forecasting at the Hadley Centre
Richard Graham,
Session 2: Climate Information Application（09:10-12 :00）
09:10-09:30 Floods Risks Mapping Assessment in
Aaron NTIRANYIBAGIRA, NMH,
09:30-09:50 Projection on the 2008 Summer Climate from the Air-Sea Coupled Relation in the Last Two Decades
QIAN Weihong,
09:50-10:10 Seasonal Forecasting of Asian Dust Days in
Keon Tae Sohn,
10:10-10:30 Tea Break
10:30-10:50 Climate Monitoring and Long-range Forecast in
Vanhdy Douangmala, DMH,
10:50-11:10 TBD
Nader Ahmed Abdulla MAHMOOD,
11:10-11:30 TBD
Mohammad Karam J. ALI, Kuwait
Lunch (11:30-13:00)
Session 3: Discussion and Summary (13:00-14:30)
Chair: DING Yihui
A summary of predictions on Asian summer 2008 climate will be produced together by BCC/CMA, CPC/NOAA, IMD, IRI, Hadley Center/UK, JMA, KMA and other NMHSs from
Closing Ceremony (14:30-14:50)
Chair: XIAO Ziniu
14:30-14:40 Speech by representative of FOCRAII participants
14:40-14:50 Address by Deputy Administrator of CMA
15:00-19:00 Technical Excursion (short bus tour to Sites of Olympic Games)
Dinner
